Baltic–Balkan–Black Sea Tri-Arc

Continuity Zones

Mayfair Sovereignty Briefing

Europe’s eastern frontier is increasingly defined by fragility geometry — a tri-arc corridor running from the Baltic states through the Balkans to the Black Sea basin. Infrastructure pressure, alliance ambiguity, and regional fragmentation all converge here, reshaping continuity expectations.

Mayfair’s lens isolates zones where logistics, energy, and sovereign posture face high-frequency volatility. We track how state stress radiates outward, revealing both strategic exposure and new operational chokepoints for firms and institutions navigating this corridor.

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